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Afternoon comment: index adjustment The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.49% in half a day. Bean bag concept stocks were strong in early trading, and the index was collectively adjusted in early trading. The three major stock indexes all fell by more than 1%. In terms of sectors, the concept stocks of bean bags were strong in early trading, and the collective daily limit of three-dimensional communication, Beiwei Technology, Global Printing, and Zhewen Internet; The concept of ice and snow industry continued its upward trend. Jingxue energy-saving 20cm daily limit, iceberg cold and hot, snowman shares and other daily limit closures; The game e-sports sector is active, and the daily limit of Zhewen Internet and Electric Soul Network is up; Real estate stocks continued to adjust, and Hefei Urban Construction and Gorgeous Family were among the top losers. Food, liquor and other consumer sectors fell into a callback, and Yiming food fell to a limit; Insurance stocks weakened collectively, led by China Life Insurance. Overall, individual stocks showed a general decline trend, with more than 4,100 stocks falling. On the disk, the Aauto Quicker concept, short play games and cultural media sectors were among the top gainers, while the insurance, liquor and real estate sectors were among the top losers.Want Want Group solemnly declared that on December 13th, @ Wangzai Club issued a solemn statement: Recently, someone pretended to be Want Want to publish false activities, so everyone must be vigilant!The REIT of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics will be put on sale to public investors today. According to the announcement issued by AVIC Fund, on December 13th, the closed infrastructure securities investment fund of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics (hereinafter referred to as "AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics REIT", fund code: 508078) will be put on sale to public investors. The fundraising period will be from December 13th to 19th, and it will be issued for 5 working days.

Huayi Brothers Dianji Animation Film Co., Ltd. is operating abnormally. Tianyancha App shows that recently, Huayi Brothers Dianji Animation Film Co., Ltd. was listed in the list of abnormal operations by Shanghai Xuhui District Market Supervision Administration because it could not be contacted through the registered residence or business premises. Huayi Brothers Touching Animation Film Co., Ltd. was established in March 2016. Its legal representative is Wang Zhonglei, with a registered capital of 200 million yuan. Its business scope includes film distribution, film screening, film production, production of audio-visual products and electronic publications, etc. It is wholly owned by Huayi Brothers.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.

Lin Yifu: Four advantages empower China's economy and drive global development. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. It was pointed out that in 2025, more active and promising macro policies will be implemented to expand domestic demand and promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation. Lin Yifu, president of Peking University New jiegou Research Institute, said in an interview that the advantages of talent, market, supply chain and system make China continuously competitive, and China will continue to be the driving force of global economic growth. （CGTN）Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Faba Bank: Some people think that Trump's policies (especially tariffs) will not cause inflation. However, market analysts have been misled and need to take Trump's tariff policy seriously.